Tariffs have caused a plethora of household components and fixtures to increase in costs. Heating, ventilation and air conditioning appliances are subject to import tax based on certain conditions. Countries outside of the United States may be subject to tariffs on country of origin and/or material.
HVAC Tariffs & Costs in 2026 Resources:
- Applicable Tariff Table: Manufacturer & Country of Origin
- What is Driving HVAC Price Increases in 2026?
- How Waiting to Repair and Replace HVAC Systems Can Be Costly | Short Term & Long Term Cost Impact
- Can Repair and Replacement of HVAC Systems Today Minimize Tariff Impact Costs?
- Financing Options
While tariffs and the impact of tariffs on HVAC is incredibly fluid, this post helps identify a range of costs of new HVAC units in 2025 and 2026. For the most current tariff information, please refer to the reciprocal tariff rates.
Tariffs By Manufacturer & Country of Origin:
| Manufacturer / Brand | Avg Cost (Installed) | Current Tariffs | Primary Manufacturing Countries / Sites | Tariff Range (Low-High) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrier | $9,000 (range $3,000-$15,000) | Steel and aluminum content can be subject to 50% tariffs (Section 232) if coming from a location outside of United States. HVACR category tariffs roughly 14% on mixed imports. | U.S. and Mexico | 14%-50% depending on component origin and metal content |
| Bryant (Carrier/ICP) | $4,750 – $5,500 | Up to 50% tariffs on imported metal and metal materials, subject to additional tariffs according to country of origin. | U.S. and Mexico | 10%-50% |
| Payne (Carrier/ICP) | $6,000 (range $5,000-$7,000) | Import taxes up to 50% on imported metal; additional parts may be subject to supplemental duties. | U.S. and Mexico | 10%-50% |
| Heil (Carrier/ICP) | $5,250 (range $3,000-$7,500) | Up to 50% tariffs on imported metal and metal materials, subject to additional tariffs according to country of origin. | U.S. and Mexico | 10%-50% |
| Trane | $15,000 (range $5,000-$25,000) | Some foreign-sourced materials and components. | U.S. and Mexico | 14%-50%+ |
| American Standard (Trane Technologies) | $5,750 (range $3,500-$8,000) | Can range from 14% to 50%. | U.S. and Mexico | 14%-50%+ |
| Lennox | $6,750 (range $3,500-$10,000) | If originating from Mexico, steel and aluminum subject to import duties ranging from 14–50%. | U.S. and Mexico | 14%-50% |
| Goodman (Daikin) | $4,850 (range $3,200-$6,500) | Materials imported for manufacturing can be subject to import duties. | U.S. | 5%-50% depending on imported component mix |
| Amana (Daikin) | $5,500 (range $3,000-$8,000) | Although manufactured in United States, material sourced overseas can be subject to tariffs based on country of origin and trade policy. | U.S. | 5%-50% |
| Daikin | $11,500 (range $8,000-$15,000) | Japan and Thailand are subject to tariffs ranging from 14–50% depending on material. | U.S., Japan, Thailand | 14%-50%+ |
| Mitsubishi Electric (METUS) | $4,750 (range $3,000-$6,500) | Headquartered in Japan with manufacturing plants and distribution centers in Japan, Thailand, and Mexico. Subject to variable tariffs ranging from 10–50%. | Japan, Thailand, Mexico | 10%-50%+ |
| Rheem | $5,750 (range $3,000-$8,500) | Manufacturing exists in Mexico. Metal materials are exposed to tariffs as high as 50%. USMCA-compliant assembly can lower exposure. | Mexico and U.S. | 10%-50% |
| Ruud (Rheem) | $5,750 (range $3,000-$8,500) | Subject to tariffs impacting imports from Mexico, ranging from 10–50%. | Mexico and U.S. | 10%-50% |
| York (Johnson Controls) | $6,950 (range $3,400-$10,500) | Imported metal parts are subject to 50% import fees. | U.S. | 5%-50% |
| Honeywell (portable/control units) | N/A | Portable and permanent HVAC appliances are subject to 50% import fees for steel and aluminum materials. | China | 25%-50% |
What is Driving HVAC Price Increases in 2026?
Import taxes on materials based on material and country of origin are contributing factors to HVAC price increases. Retailers generally need to offset the costs of many household appliances and components. In the majority of instances, these import taxes are passed on to the consumer to help account for the increase cost for the distributor is paying.
Due to the origin of the materials used in HVAC systems – including steel and aluminum – different materials can be subject to import taxes. While American assembled and made products are exempt from these import costs, if the material itself was imported before it was made and/or assembled, these costs can be passed on to the consumer.
| Material / Component(s) | Tariff Impact Level | Typical Tariff Range (Dec. 2025) | What Materials Are Used For |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steel | Very High | 25%–50% | Cabinets, heat furnace shells, ductwork, brackets, frames |
| Aluminum | Very High | 25%–50% | Heat exchangers, housing, evaporator components, condenser coils |
| Semiconductors & Control Boards | High | 10%–25% (higher if originating from China) | Communication modules, inverter drives, control boards |
| Wire: Copper & Electric | Medium | 0%–15% | Refrigerant lines and conduits, coil tubing, electrical components |
| Compressors | High | 10%–25% | Refrigeration components, AC pumps, heat pumps |
| Plastics & Polymers | Low–Medium | 0%–10% | Condensation pans, housing components, insulation material |
| Rubber | Low | 0%–10% | Gaskets, seals |
| Fiberglass Insulation | Low | 0%–5% | HVAC duct insulation, sound dampener |
How Waiting to Repair and Replace HVAC Systems Can Be Costly | Short Term & Long Term Cost Impact
There are short term and long term financial impacts of waiting to repair, replace or upgrade HVAC components. While waiting to perform necessary maintenance and upgrades may render savings in the short term, these downsides can quickly add up.
Short Term Cost Impact
Neglecting an HVAC system in hopes of delaying future costs can result in additional costs associated with higher gas and electric bills.
Contributing health and financial factors in the short term increase include:
- Higher energy bills (likely 10-30% higher depending on elements)
- Decline in air quality
- Increase in potential of HVAC emergencies during heatwaves and cold snaps
- Decline in system efficiency
- Uneven temperatures
- Longer heating and cooling times
- Decrease in humidity control
Long Term Cost Impact
In addition to short term cost impact for HVACs, failure to maintain and replace an HVAC unit can cost more down the line. Avoiding maintenance for HVAC systems doesn’t equate to avoiding costs. These costs are delayed but the true costs can be more expensive due to tariffs and inflation rate. These contributing factors include:
- Fluctuating costs as tariffs change
- Prices increase year over year (generally 4-7% annually)
- Systems can fail
- Neglect can cause warranty
- True costs of failing to replacing an HVAC system may be 20-35% higher than purchasing original HVAC system when needed
- Energy costs rise over time
Can Repair and Replacement of HVAC Systems Today Minimize Tariff Impact Costs?
It’s tough to say confidently. While some countries have high tariffs imposed on them, these tariffs may increase or decrease with little notice. Many manufacturers that assemble HVAC systems and components can be impacted by tariffs. Some of which are in excess of 50%.
Companies like Daikin, Mitsubishi and Honeywell with manufacturer centers across Asia, increase the costs associated with new HVAC systems and units. Purchasing and performing the proper maintenance in a timely manner helps reduce the cost for home owners and end users.
Will HVAC Prices Go Down in 2026?
For HVAC units manufactured and imported from Japan to the United States, these materials have a 15% tariff imposed. This means that unit is going to cost more relative to the current available stock that is quickly depleting. When new units are imported to the US, these tariff costs are frequently passed along to the end user. Inflation and tariffs can prevent HVAC prices from decreasing in the near-term.
Legislation, court rulings, rate of inflation and tariffs can change rapidly – it is important for consumers to keep these costs in mind before purchasing a new HVAC system and review current tariff information. A general rule of thumb is that prices for HVAC and HVAC services increase over time.
An experienced HVAC company helps provide solutions and financing options for homeowners.
Financing Options for HVAC Services in Nashville, TN
Moonlight HVAC and Nightscapes has partnered with the financial institutions of Synchrony Financial and Acorn Finance. With financing options starting at 0% APR for 18 months, these excellent rates make it affordable and convenient to perform the necessary services and upgrades for your residential HVAC replacements.
